RE: Huggins thinks UC can make Sweet 16

[Nabeel Kaukab]

No fair...Zuke, didn't we have a tête-à-tête
a few years ago, over the use of probability
in NCAA tournament analysis ;)

I thought I was the only one allowed to use
math to compare events...

Nabeel

-----Original Message-----
From: Zuke [mailto:address@hidden
Sent: Monday, March 03, 2003 11:58 AM
To: address@hidden
Subject: Re: [UC Basketball] Huggins thinks UC can make Sweet 16


In article <address@hidden>,
Brian Johnson <address@hidden> wrote:
> Wednesday is Senior Night.  Taron and Lenny will take
> care of business.

Neither have shown the least ability to take over any type of game.
When you can only do it two or three times a season you have
no control over when it's going to happen.  Dominating players
have more like a 60-75% possibility of it happening.

By the way, I like both of these players a lot from the personal
level and I just wish we would have had a couple of studs which
these two could have complemented more than adequately.

Huggins is all wet with his Sweet 16 talk.  I'd say the chance of
us getting to the Sweet 16 at this point in time is less than the
chance of us even making the tournament.

If we make the show, it's probably going to be as an 8-9 seed at
best which means we'll probably go up against a mid level from one
of the major conference in the first round and then against a
1 or 2 seed in the second round.  Our chance of winning the first
round in that case is probably about 30% and the chance of winning
the second round about 5%.

Later,

Zuke


--
You are in control until you are out of control.